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IMF Lowers Global Outlook

IMF Lowers Global Outlook IMF Lowers Global Outlook

As part of its world economic outlook published twice a year by the International Monetary Fund, estimate of U.S. and global economic growth was lowered. The IMF feels the world now has a three-speed recovery and said, "Emerging market and developing economies are still going strong, but in advanced economies, there appears to be a growing bifurcation between the United States on one hand and the euro area on the other." The IMF said the sequester, while decreasing worries about debt sustainability, "is the wrong path to proceed." Per the IMF report, global growth for 2013 is expected at 3.3%, global growth for 2014 expected at 4%, U.S. growth expected at 1.9% for 2013 and U.S. growth for 2014 expected at 3%. Forecasts represent declines of 0.2 percentage points in 2013 and no change for 2014. Forecasted growth for the U.K. in 2013 is at 1.6% and 1.4% growth in 2014.

As the takeover process unveiled in mid-February for a controversial $24.4 billion takeover by its founder Michael Dell along with investment firm Silver Lake Partners unfolds, Dell Inc. (DELL) and billionaire investor Carl Icahn, have come to terms on an agreement where he and his affiliates have agreed not to collectively own more than 15% of the PC makers shares. The takeover offer by Michael Dell and Silver Lake Partners would be aided by a $2 billion loan from Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and $13.75 billion in new bank debt. While capping Icahn's share ownership will "maximize the chances of eliciting a superior proposal" from Mr. Icahn, the special committee on Tuesday said it believed granting the waiver protects shareholders against "potential accumulation of an unduly influential voting interest." The special committee also determined the proposal by Icahn could reasonably be expected to result in a superior proposal. Icahn argues the takeover deal "undervalues Dell and hurts shareholders." In a statement, Icahn said Dell investors "are entitled to a free exchange of ideas as they make this important decision and that includes the right of shareholders to evaluate all alternatives."

The U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday reported that during March, new home construction rose 7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.04 million, striking the highest level seen since June 2008 as starts rose for apartments, but fell for single-family homes. From the same period in 2012, March new home starts were up 47%, for the largest year-over-year growth since 1992. Starts for single-family homes fell 5% to a rate of 619,000. Starts for buildings with at least five units rose to a rate of 392,000 in March, striking the highest level seen since January 2006. Building permits, a sign of future demand, fell 3.9% in March to a rate of 902,000.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday that Consumer Price Index in March decreased on a seasonally adjusted basis by 0.2%. For the previous 12 months, the all items index increased 1.5% before seasonal adjustment. CPI for all items less food and energy increased 0.1% in March. Energy index fell 2.6% in March, food index remained unchanged and index for food at home declining slightly.

Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) reported on Tuesday that its investigational long-lasting treatment for type 2 diabetes - dulaglutide - showed positive results in additional Phase III studies. Latest long-term studies showed Lilly's drug was more effective in reducing hemoglobin A1c, an indicator of blood sugar levels, in patients with type 2 diabetes compared with other diabetes treatments. In another series of Phase III studies in October 2012, Lilly reported dulaglutide showed positive results in lowering overall blood glucose levels. Lilly expects to submit dulaglutide for regulatory approval this year. Lilly recently unveiled plans to add nearly 300 sales positions to the side of their business that sells diabetes treatments.

Coca-Cola Co.'s (KO) reported Q1 earnings fell by 15%, with reported net income of $1.75 billion, compared with $2.05 billion in Q1 of 2012. Per share earnings for Coke came in at 39 cents, down 13% from 2012 with adjusted earnings per share at 46 cents. Cola maker reported a 4% sales volume growth in Q1, with 3% growth in the Americas and 5% growth internationally. Shares of Coke surged to a high not seen since 1998 during mid-day trading on Tuesday.

The Federal Reserve reported March industrial production rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4%. Due to unusually cold weather, utilities output rose 5.3% while manufacturing and mining output decreased. Capacity utilization edged up slightly to 78.5% in March from 78.3% in February.
 

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April 16, 2013


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