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Daily Market Commentary for January 26, 2010

Congressional Budget Office

Congressional Budget Office gave a report on the growing deficit and economic recovery today. In the report the Budget office said they estimate a deficit of $1.35 trillion for the current budget year; they also expect the economy to recover at a slow pace, especially with the unemployment rate reaching 10%. It is expected that the deficit will reach $6 trillion over the next 10 years, and if new policies that are expected to be passed do pass you can add another $2 trillion onto that. It is expected that President Obama will introduce a three year spending freeze plan when he makes his State of the Union address Wednesday, if approved the spending freeze would include freezing $477 billion of domestic agency budget money; the agency's yearly budgets are always approved by Congress. Many say the spending freeze wouldn't have a very large impact on the deficit, over 10 years it would save up to $250 billion, republicans say any type of spending cuts are important. Apple reported better than expected quarterly earnings after the close yesterday, the company said it was due to a high amount of sales of iPhones and Mac computers; quarterly revenue rose to a record $15.7 billion. DuPont reported a rise in revenue, they earned $441 million in the fourth quarter, up from a loss of $629 million a year ago; analysts projected quarterly earnings of $0.41 a share. Verizon reported a fourth-quarter loss of $653 million, a drop from net income of $1.24 billion in the same quarter a year-ago. Stocks rose today for the second day in a row, the Dow was up 62 points mid-day. Bond prices rose, the yield on the benchmark 10-year note fell to 3.61 from 3.63 Monday. Commodity prices were mixed, gold rose $3.20 to $1,100.00 and crude oil fell $0.65 to $74.60.

Economic data released today:

Redbook:
U.S. Retail Sales First 3 weeks in January fell 1.4% versus December; U.S. Retail Sales First 3 Weeks in January rose 1.1% versus January a year-ago; U.S. Retail Sales rose 1.0% week ended January 23 versus a year ago.

ICSC/Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales:
U.S. Chain Store Sales fell 2.5% in week of January 23; U.S. Chain Store Sales rose 1.9% on the year.

S&P/CS Home Price Indices Composite - 20:
S&P Case-Shiller November 20-City Home Price Index fell 5.3% year over year; S&P Case-Shiller November 10-City Home Price Index fell 0.2% month over month; S&P Case-Shiller November 20-City Home Price Index fell 0.2% month over month.

Conference Board Consumer Confidence:
U.S. Conference Board January Consumer Confidence 55.9 versus December 53.6; U.S. Conference Board January Present Situation Index 25.0 versus December 20.2; U.S. Conference Board January Expectations Index 76.5 versus December 75.9.

Richmond Manufacturing Index:
January Manufacturing Index fell 2 versus December decrease by 4; January Manufacturing Shipments Index fell 2 versus December decrease by 6; January Services Revenues Index fell 9 versus December decrease by 9; January Retail Revenues Index 1 versus December decrease by 18.

At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing bell price:
DOW (Dow Jones Industrial Average) shed 1.51 points, EOD 10,195.35
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) shed 44.82, EOD 7,028.31
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) shed 5.81 points, EOD 2,204.99
S&P 500 (SPX) shed 4.55 points, EOD 1,092.23
BEL 20 (BEL20) gain 20.64 points, EOD 2,496.45
CAC 40 (CAC40) shed 13.74 points, EOD 3,807.04
FTSE100 (UKX100) gain 16.54 points, EOD 5,276.85
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) shed 265.27 points, EOD 10,325.28

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session today:

Advanced stock prices 1,129 declined stock prices 1,979, unchanged stock prices 85, stock prices hitting new highs 77 and stock prices hitting new lows 12. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: X shed 6.62, HOD 53.40, LOD 49.48, EOD 49.61; PKG gain 1.31, HOD 23.21, LOD 21.41, EOD 22.85; GS shed 4.6102, HOD 156.50, LOD 150.70, EOD 150.88; EDC shed 6.64, HOD 114.99, LOD 109.21, EOD 110.40; CME shed 20.79, HOD 301.62, LOD 286.04, EOD 286.20; ICE shed 5.61, HOD 100.44, LOD 95.20, EOD 95.31; FAS shed 3.24, HOD 73.05, LOD 67.65, EOD 67.91; SHW gain 36.91, HOD 64.30, LOD 62.56, EOD 62.83; ESI gain 4.05, HOD 111.92, LOD 106.37, EOD 111.29.
 
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 890, declined stock prices 1,813, unchanged stock prices 126, stock prices hitting new highs 41 and stock prices hitting new lows 20. NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: AAPL gain 2.87, HOD 213.74, LOD 202.58, EOD 205.94; ZION gain 1.16, HOD 20.58, LOD 18.90, EOD 19.08; VLTR gain 3.31, HOD 21.56, LOD 19.76, EOD 21.12; AMZN shed 0.83, HOD 122.98, LOD 119.06, EOD 119.48; PRXL gain 1.89, HOD 21.10, LOD 19.13, EOD 19.43; ZRAN shed 1.20, HOD 11.30, LOD 10.51, EOD 10.56; BIDU gain 4.22, HOD 423.60, LOD 409.21, EOD 419.38; PCLN gain 1.60, HOD 207.21, LOD 200.84, EOD 204.44; GOOG gain 2.42, HOD 549.60, LOD 536.29, EOD 542.21; FSLR gain 3.41, HOD 117.88, LOD 111.35, EOD 115.13.

Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators for the trading session today:

Advanced stock prices 219, declined stock prices 289, unchanged stock prices 38, stock prices hitting new highs 6 and stock prices hitting new lows 4.

Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:

E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Mar 10: EOD 1089.25; Change -3.25
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) Mar 10: EOD 1,803.25; Change 4.75
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) Mar 10: EOD 10,145; Change 5
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) Mar 10: EOD 719.10; Change -3.10
Nikkei 225 (Yen) Mar 10: EOD 10,295; Change -170

World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.7104 U.S. Dollars 1.4077
Japanese Yen 89.6500 to U.S. Dollars 0.0112
British Pound 0.6194 to U.S. Dollars 1.6145
Canadian Dollar 1.0623 to U.S. Dollars 0.9414
Swiss Franc 1.0459 to U.S. Dollars 0.9561

COMMODITY MARKETS:
Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (March 10) shed $0.65, EOD $74.60 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (March 10) shed $0.01, EOD $1.96 a gallon ($US per gallon)
Natural Gas (March 10) shed $0.25, EOD $5.41 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (February 10) shed $0.03 EOD $1.97 gallon ($US per gallon)

Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (February 10) gain $3.20, EOD $1,100.00 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (March 10) shed $0.31, EOD $16.84 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (April 10) shed $13.10, EOD $1,533.00 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (March 10) shed $0.06, EOD $3.34 ($US per pound)

Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (April 10) shed $1.83, EOD $68.68
Pork Bellies (February 10) shed $2.10, EOD $81.40
Live Cattle (April 10) shed $0.90, EOD $89.28
Feeder Cattle (March 10) gain $0.20, EOD $98.98

Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):
Corn (March 10) shed $5.25, EOD $362.25
Soybeans (March 10) gain $6.75, EOD $947.50

BOND MARKET:

2 year EOD 100 11/32, change -0.50/32, Yield 0.82, Yield change 0.01
5 year EOD 101 10/32, change 2/32, Yield 2.33 Yield change -0.03
10 year EOD 98 1/32, change 4/32, Yield 3.61 Yield change -0.02                     
30 year EOD 97 4/32, change 0.5/32, Yield 4.55, change 0.01

Access upcoming scheduled economic data anytime by viewing the Economic Calendar from Millennium-Traders, free access to visitors on our website.

Visitors may subscribe to our free Weekly Market News for a review of the previous weeks trading news plus, view upcoming economic data scheduled for the week ahead.

Review current edition as well as, archives of the News & Commentary plus, view complete details of calls made in our Trading Rooms and stock picks from our Swing Trading service. Traders should review our FREE Monthly Trading Lesson posted on our website.
 


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