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Daily Market Commentary for November 10, 2009
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Dow Jones
Stocks slowly rose this morning after Monday's
rallies; in yesterdays trading session the Dow Jones climbed over 200 points to
record highs of 2009. Stocks have been rallying over the past couple of months
despite a couple of losses, analysts thank low interest rates and the dollar's
continued fall as being major factors of the rise over the past several months.
November is usually a good month for the stock market, stocks unusually see
large gains and this November is proving that to be correct. Dow Jones
Industrial Average ended the day at its highest level in 13 months yesterday
reaching 10,226.94 after G-20 leaders met over the weekend and decided that it
is crucial for continuing government aid. Some were surprised by the climb after
last week's reports were somewhat glum; it just shows that investors are
focusing their attention on other things, such as the dollar which continues to
fall. Investors are watching the dollar fall and it is helping boost stocks
higher, when the dollar is weaker it allows investors access to cheap debt, they
are able to buy more assets such as stocks, bonds and commodities like gold and
oil. Federal Reserve officials warned today that unemployment will remain high
for the next several years due to a slow recovery, with the housing market
struggling right now the economy isn't strong enough for people to feel
confident enough to hire new employees, everyone who has had their business
affected by last year's crash is still trying to recover. In today's trading
session commodities continued their rise, oil reached $79.05 a barrel as gold
reached highs of $1,102.50, the dollar was also on the rise today, it rose
against the pound and the euro. Bond prices rose, the yield on the benchmark 10-
year Treasury note fell to 3.47 from 3.48 Monday.
Janet Yellen, President Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco:
Banks creating systemic risk need capital, liquidity requirements; size cap on
large banks not desirable; commercial real estate market lacks confidence; a lot
distressed debt remains in commercial property; long-term change in spending
habits is possible; American consumer remains very cautious; overseas recovery
could help U.S. exports; by 2011, stimulus's effect will begin to wind down;
congress's stimulus is helpful to economy; doesn't see risk of deflation; fed
sees high unemployment for some years; high unemployment alone not enough to
keep rates low; sees inflation drifting down a bit; not in favor of single,
central regulator.
Eric S. Rosengren, President and Chief Executive Officer of the Federal
Reserve Bank of Boston comments:
Supports living wills for companies; globalization complicating banking
problems; big global banks hard to resolve in times of trouble; systemically key
kirms need to hold more capital; repeats support for debt to equity securities;
makes no comment on rate policy, economy; supervisors must prevent build up of
too much risk; need international bank resolution schemes; need to manage
capital requirements better.
Energy Information Administration:
4Q U.S. Oil use seen at 18.86M B/D, -2.3% versus year ago; 2009 U.S. CO2
Emissions from fossil fuels seen down 5.6%; 4Q U.S. Oil use revised down 0.6%
from October to 18.86M barrels per day; 1Q 2010 U.S. Oil use seen at 18.97M
barrels per day, +0.7% versus year; U.S. Retail Gasoline to average
$2.81/gallons in 2010; OPEC oil output 29.0M barrels per day in first 9 months,
down 2.4 Million barrels per day; U.S. CO2 Emissions from fossil fuels seen up
1.5% in 2010; Raises 2010 WTI Crude Oil Price outlook by 7.9%; U.S. Natural Gas
production to fall 3.8% in 2010; U.S. Electricity demand seen rising 1.6% in
2010; 2009 Oil use seen at 18.72M barrels per day, -4% versus year ago; WTI
Crude Oil to average $78.13/ barrel in 2010; U.S. Electricity demand seen
dropping 3.6% in '09; '09 Coal CO2 Emissions seen down slightly more than 10%;
U.S. Diesel to average $2.94/gallon in 2010; U.S. Natural Gas consumption to
slip 1.1% in 2010; 4Q World Oil use seen at 84.99M barrels per day, +0.4% versus
year ago; U.S. Coal Production seen dropping more than 7% in '09; OPEC Oil
Production to average 29.4M barrels per day in 2010; Raises 2010 Gasoline,
Diesel Price forecasts by 6%; U.S. Residential Electricity Prices seen dropping
0.8% in 2010; U.S. Residential Heating Oil to average $2.80/ gallon in winter;
1Q 2010 World Oil use seen at 85.18M barrels per day, +2% versus 2009; U.S.
Diesel to average $2.79/ gallon in 4Q '09; U.S. Coal Production seen dropping
1.4% in 2010; 2009 World Oil use seen at 84.14M barrels per day, -1.9% versus
year ago; Raises US Residential Heating Oil price forecast by 7%; 2010 World Oil
use seen at 85.4M barrels per day, +1.5% versus 2009; OPEC October Oil Output
rises 30,000 barrels per day on month to 29.43M barrels per day; 2010 World Oil
use forecast revised +0.7% versus October; 4Q China Oil use revised +1% versus
October to 8.45 M barrels per day; 4Q China Oil use seen +12.1% versus year
ago; '09 use +4.9%; revises up September OPEC Oil Output to 29.40 Million
barrels per day.
Economic data released today:
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism:
U.S. November IBD/TIPP 6-Month Economic Outlook 49.2; U.S. November IBD/TIPP
Economic Optimism Index 47.9 versus October 48.7.
At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major
world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the
world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing
bell price:
DOW (Dow
Jones Industrial Average) gain 17.71 points, EOD 10,243.95
NYSE (New York Stock
Exchange) shed 8.91, EOD 7,126.42
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ)
shed 2.98 points, EOD 2,151.08
S&P 500 (SPX) shed 0.07 points, EOD 1,093.01
BEL 20 (BEL20) shed 18.95 points, EOD 2,465.35
CAC 40 (CAC40) gain 0.1 points, EOD 3,785.59
FTSE100 (UKX100) shed 4.63 points, EOD 5,230.55
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) shed 78.75 points, EOD 9,870.73
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session
today:
Advanced stock prices 1,293 declined stock prices 1,789, unchanged stock
prices 84, stock prices hitting new highs 174 and stock prices hitting new lows
10. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes,
stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock
Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those
who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: AIG gain 1.38, HOD 39.35,
LOD 37.08, EOD 37.56; FLR shed 3.63, HOD 46.39, LOD 44.09, EOD 44.38; FAS shed
0.75, HOD 79.17, LOD 75.65, EOD 77.81; CME shed 5.95, HOD 313.49, LOD 307.78,
EOD 307.79; RTP gain 1.45, HOD 207.92, LOD 201.92, EOD 206.18; SF gain 1.50, HOD
55.68, LOD 53.64, EOD 54.48.
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ)
stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 895, declined stock prices 1,824, unchanged
stock prices 135, stock prices hitting new highs 87 and stock prices hitting
new lows 42. NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock
quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ
stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or
would like to be Day Trading for a living: BIDU gain 2.25, HOD 428.88, LOD
421.75, EOD 428.12; FSLR gain 0.40, HOD 123.85, LOD 119.00, EOD 119.90; FSYS
shed 0.82, HOD 47.21, LOD 44.56, EOD 46.75; PCLN gain 30.49, HOD 209.19, LOD
191.62, EOD 204.22; AAPL gain 1.52, HOD 204.98, LOD 201.01, EOD 202.38; WYNN
gain 0.55, HOD 64.46, LOD 62.06, EOD 64.09; CLNE shed 0.81, HOD 12.25, LOD
11.55, EOD 12.03; HMIN gain 3.44, HOD 36.40, LOD 34.03, EOD 36.33; GEOY gain
3.44, HOD 36.40, LOD 34.03, EOD 36.33; HOLX gain 0.45, HOD 15.81, LOD 14.95, EOD
15.77.
Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators
for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 204, declined stock prices 310, unchanged stock
prices 46, stock prices hitting new highs 18 and stock prices hitting new lows
4.
Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:
E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Dec 09: EOD 1090.50; Change -1.25
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) Dec 09: EOD 1,771.25; Change 4.75
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) Dec 09: EOD 10,210; Change 18
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) Dec 09: EOD 695.90; Change 1.30
Nikkei 225 (Yen) Dec 09: EOD 9,915; Change -75
World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex
Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.6676 U.S. Dollars 1.4979
Japanese Yen 89.8300 to U.S. Dollars 0.0111
British Pound 0.5979 to U.S. Dollars 1.6726
Canadian Dollar 1.0494 to U.S. Dollars 0.9529
Swiss Franc 1.0081 to U.S. Dollars 0.9920
COMMODITY MARKETS:
Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (December 09) shed $0.38, EOD $79.05 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (December 09) shed $0.01, EOD $2.05 a gallon ($US per
gallon)
Natural Gas (December 09) shed $0.20, EOD $4.47 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (December 09) unchanged $0.00, EOD $1.98 a gallon ($US per
gallon)
Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (December 09) gain $1.10, EOD $1,102.50 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (December 09) shed $0.26, EOD $17.22 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (January 09) shed $16.00, EOD $1,351.20 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (December 09) shed $0.01, EOD $2.96 ($US per pound)
Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (December 09) shed $0.18, EOD $55.63
Pork Bellies (February 10) shed $0.23, EOD $84.38
Live Cattle (December 09) shed $0.35, EOD $84.60
Feeder Cattle (January 10) shed $0.98, EOD $94.73
Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):
Corn (December 09) gain $8.50, EOD $394.50
Soybeans (January 10) shed $4.00, EOD $964.50
BOND MARKET:
2 year EOD 100 10/32, change 1/32, Yield 0.83, Yield change -0.02
5 year EOD 100 12/32, change 1/32, Yield 2.29, Yield change 0.00
10 year EOD 101 7/32, change 3/32, Yield 3.47, Yield change -0.01
30 year EOD 101 15/32, change -6/32, Yield 4.41, change 0.02
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Top of the page | |
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Total for Year |
Last Week |
$130,685.00 |
$9,967.00 |
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Total for Year |
Last Week |
$32,847.50 |
$1,585.00 |
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Total for Year |
Last Week |
$123,550.00 |
$16,250.00 |
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Total for Year |
Last Week |
$106,480.00 |
$9,830.00 |
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Total for Year |
Last Week |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
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News & Commentary
Daily Market Commentary for March 12, 2010
Stocks Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010
Futures Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010
Forex Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010
Daily Swing Trades Performance for March 12, 2010
Daily Market Commentary for March 11, 2010
Stocks Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010
Futures Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010
Forex Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010
Daily Swing Trades Performance for March 11, 2010
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