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Daily Market Commentary for November 16, 2009

GM

GM reported an overall loss for the third-quarter but is staying optimistic about the future of the company; they said they will start to repay some of the money the government loaned them. The company said Monday it plans on paying $1 billion to the U.S. Treasury in December, and another $192 million to the Canadian governments. GM posted a $1.15 billion loss in the third quarter, that comes after its July 10 exit from bankruptcy protection. GM said in its report that operations generated $3.3 billion in assets and ended the month of September with $42.6 billion in cash on hand, the company said it will have to use some of that money to make an additional $1 billion in restructuring payments and they also plan to pay a $2.8 billion settlement to Delphi, its former parts supplier. GM's new products, include the improved Chevrolet Camaro muscle car, Chevrolet Equinox and GMC Terrain midsize, overall these revamped vehicles have helped the company improve its performance. Out of all of the companies models, the company's top sellers for October were the Silverado pickup truck and the full sized Impala. Although the company recently experienced an upturn in auto sales, GM continues to struggle, they reported revenue from auto sales fell 25% compared to a year earlier, despite the drastic decline in sales, they were helped out by the government's cash for clunkers program. Overall, GM said revenue from auto sales in the third quarter were up $4.9 billion, or 21%, from the second quarter. Any signs of improvement are uplifting, especially after the hardships GM has been dealing with over the past year, they've gone from one of the biggest automakers in the world, to having the government own a 61% stake in the company. GM's competitors are doing relatively well for the conditions we are facing, Ford and Toyota, GM's biggest competitors both reported unexpected quarterly profits during the third quarter. In trading news stocks were up triple digits this morning as the dollar continued to weaken, energy stocks and commodities benefited from the decline. Retail sales rose 1.4% in October from the prior month, analysts expected an increase by 0.9% for the month. Bond prices rose, the yield on the benchmark 10- year Treasury note fell to 3.33 from 3.42 Friday, gold was also on the rise, the commodity rose to record highs of $1,139.20.

Comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke:
Moderate Economic Growth To Continue In 2010 - The U.S. economy will continue to grow in 2010 and the underlying strength of the world's largest economy will help ensure the dollar stays firm, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said Monday. Bernanke cautioned that weakness in the labor market and tight bank lending will prevent the expansion from being as robust as the U.S. central bank would hope. "I expect moderate economic growth to continue next year. Final demand shows signs of strengthening, supported by the broad improvement in financial conditions," Bernanke said in a prepared speech to the Economic Club of New York. The Fed chairman additionally spoke about the U.S. dollar, a rare move, which has fallen in value recently as financial markets have improved and global economic activity picked up. "Our commitment to our dual objectives, together with the underlying strengths of the U.S. economy, will help ensure that the dollar is strong and a source of global financial stability," Bernanke said, stressing that the Fed will continue to monitor the dollar's value closely. Bernanke said jobs are likely to remain scarce and inflation low for some time. The central bank said it expects to keep rates close to zero for an "extended period" in the face of high unemployment and low inflation. The FOMC rate-setting committee, earlier this month spelled out the three key indicators it will be looking at to set rates: unemployment, core inflation and inflation expectations. "Both the decline in jobs and the increase in the unemployment rate have been more severe than in any other recession since World War II," Bernanke warned. The U.S. economy is slowly recovering from its worst recession experienced since the Great Depression. Although the economy expanded during Q3, for the first time in more than a year, the recovery remains fragile, with unemployment at a 26-year high at 10.2% during October.

Philadelphia Fed Survey:
U.S. GDP Seen Rising by 2.7% in 4Q, Up 2.3% in 1Q 2010; U.S. 2009 GDP Seen Down 2.5%, Up 2.4% in 2010, Up 3.1% in 2011; U.S. 2009 Unemployment Rate Seen at 9.3%, 2010 at 10%; U.S. 2011 Unemployment Rate Seen at 9.2%, 8.3% in 2012; U.S. CPI Seen Up 1.1% in 2009, Up 1.7% 2010, Up 2.1% in 2011; U.S. Core CPI Seen Up 1.7% in 2009, Up 1.4% in 2010; U.S. Core PCE Prices Seen Up 1.3% in 2010, Up 1.5% in 2011.

Economic data released today:

Retail Sales:
U.S. October Retail & Food Sales rose 1.4%; compared to consensus of an increase by 0.9%; U.S. October Retail & Food Sales Excluding Autos rose 0.2%; September Retail & Food Sales Revised to fall 2.3% from a decrease by 1.5%.

New York Empire State Manufacturing Index:
New York Fed's November Manufacturing Index 23.51 versus 34.57 in October; New York Fed November New Orders 16.66 versus 30.82 in October; New York Fed November Employment 1.32 versus 10.39 in October; New York Fed November Prices Received fell 2.63 versus a decrease by 5.19 in October.

Business Inventories:
U.S. September Business Inventories fell 0.4%; was expected to fall 0.8%; U.S. September Motor Vehicle & Parts Inventories rose 3.8%.

At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing bell price:

DOW (Dow Jones Industrial Average) triple digit gain 137.70 points, EOD 10,408.17
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) triple digit gain 117.18, EOD 7,237.07
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) gain 28.75 points, EOD 2,196.63
S&P 500 (SPX) gain 15.58 points, EOD 1,109.06
BEL 20 (BEL20) gain 28.85 points, EOD 2,535.32
CAC 40 (CAC40) gain 57.15 points, EOD 3,863.16
FTSE100 (UKX100) gain 86.29 points, EOD 5,382.67
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) gain 20.87 points, EOD 9,791.18

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session today:

Advanced stock prices 2,494 declined stock prices 619, unchanged stock prices 78, stock prices hitting new highs 312 and stock prices hitting new lows 5. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: CME gain 4.72, HOD 321.40, LOD 315.89, EOD 318.48; EDC gain 10.35, HOD 165.00, LOD 158.50, EOD 162.74; ICE gain 1.50, HOD 111.35, LOD N/A, EOD 110.03; RTP gain 10.75, HOD 222.98, LOD 219.34, EOD 220.84; FAS gain 2.60, HOD 81.11, LOD 77.44, EOD 78.78; PBR gain 0.77, HOD 51.44, LOD 50.45, EOD 50.95; PLA gain 0.23, HOD 5.22, LOD 4.64, EOD 4.78; FDX gain 2.83, HOD 84.92, LOD 83.08, EOD 84.80; ADY shed 6.89, HOD 26.52, LOD 23.61, EOD 25.54; MA shed 3.92, HOD N/A, LOD 228.92, EOD 230.80; CF gain 0.93, HOD 82.15, LOD 80.19, EOD 81.29; AEM gain 1.01, HOD 62.59, LOD 61.10, EOD 61.62.

National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 2,112, declined stock prices 664, unchanged stock prices 95, stock prices hitting new highs 177 and stock prices hitting new lows 17. NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: BIDU gain 5.82, HOD 442.63, LOD 434.05, EOD 438.32; TIBX shed 0.17, HOD 9.25, LOD 9.01, EOD 9.21; FSLR gain 5.11, HOD 125.22, LOD 120.02, EOD 123.41; AAPL gain 2.18, HOD 208.00, LOD 205.01, EOD 206.63; TFSL shed 0.38, HOD 11.49, LOD 10.38, EOD 11.07; IBKC gain 8.03, HOD 54.18, LOD 50.17, EOD 52.43; SHLD gain 3.06, HOD 79.75, LOD 74.26, EOD 77.60; AMZN shed 1.38, HOD 134.56, LOD 130.98, EOD 131.59.

Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators for the trading session today:

Advanced stock prices 320, declined stock prices 204, unchanged stock prices 46, stock prices hitting new highs 20 and stock prices hitting new lows 5.

Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:

E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Dec 09: EOD 1106.25; Change 14.75
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) Dec 09: EOD 1,803.75; Change 15.50
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) Dec 09: EOD 10,367; Change 125
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) Dec 09: EOD 708.90; Change 11.70
Nikkei 225 (Yen) Dec 09: EOD 9,875; Change 100

World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.6678 U.S. Dollars 1.4974
Japanese Yen 89.1000 to U.S. Dollars 0.0112
British Pound 0.5941 to U.S. Dollars 1.6832
Canadian Dollar 1.0466 to U.S. Dollars 0.9555
Swiss Franc 1.0075 to U.S. Dollars 0.9926

COMMODITY MARKETS:
Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (December 09) gain $2.55, EOD $78.90 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (December 09) gain $0.07, EOD $2.07 a gallon ($US per gallon)
Natural Gas (December 09) gain $0.19, EOD $4.99 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (December 09) gain $0.07, EOD $1.99 a gallon ($US per gallon) 

Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (December 09) gain $22.70, EOD $1,139.40 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (December 09) gain $1.03, EOD $18.41 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (January 09) gain $55.90, EOD $1,444.60 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (December 09) gain $0.13, EOD $3.13 ($US per pound)

Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (December 09) gain $0.50, EOD $62.35
Pork Bellies (February 10) gain $0.35, EOD $87.40
Live Cattle (December 09) shed $0.03, EOD $85.13
Feeder Cattle (January 10) shed $0.20, EOD $92.38

Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):

Corn (December 09) gain 11.75, EOD $417.50
Soybeans (January 10) gain $23.00, EOD $1,010.00

BOND MARKET:
2 year EOD 100 14/32, change 3/32, Yield 0.76, Yield change -0.05
5 year EOD 100 29/32, change 11/32, Yield 2.18, Yield change -0.07
10 year EOD 100 10/32, change 23/32, Yield 3.33, Yield change -0.09                     
30 year EOD 101 22/32, change 1 13/32, Yield 4.27, change -0.08

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News & Commentary

Daily Market Commentary for March 12, 2010

Stocks Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010

Futures Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010

Forex Trading Room Performance for March 12, 2010

Daily Swing Trades Performance for March 12, 2010

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Stocks Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010

Futures Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010

Forex Trading Room Performance for March 11, 2010

Daily Swing Trades Performance for March 11, 2010


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