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Daily Market Commentary for October 23, 2009

Microsoft Updates

Investors were looking forward to seeing Microsoft Updates today to see how the software giant is recovering. Microsoft reported earnings of $0.40 per share, overall shares are down $0.48 from last year but did beat economists' expectations of $0.32 a share. Sales fell 14% to $12.9 billion, marking the third consecutive quarter in which sales fell from year-ago levels, analysts were expecting a revenue of $12.3 billion, accounting for some of the sale decline was a deferral of $1.5 billion in revenue from Vista sales to provide customers with upgrade coupons for Windows 7 . Microsoft released it's new operating system called, windows 7 yesterday, although they aren't expecting a large increase in sales from 7 in 2009, the company does expect it to boost sales in 2010. PC market has been affected by the lessening demand for PC's, many people aren't buying things unless they absolutely need them and computers just don't qualify under that. In June Microsoft launched it's new search engine Bing, and also made an agreement with Yahoo to share partnership starting in 2010, even though Google still beats them in the online advertising market, Microsoft still considers Bing a success. Shares of Microsoft rose $2.51, or 9.4% to $29.10, when the news was released. Stocks were mixed today after the Dow posted triple digit gains yesterday it fell 103 points today, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 10 points and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 13 points. Bond prices fell, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.49 from 3.41 Thursday, crude oil fell $0.69 to $80.50, gold fell $2.20 to $1,056.40.

Comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke:
Makes No Comment On Economy, but did say "financial conditions have improved considerably; All Systemically Important Financial Firms Need Oversight; Compensation Must Have Right Incentives, Reflect Risk; Fed Is Exploring Value Of Convertible Debt; Fed Working To Promote Higher Bank Capital Standards; Need Resolution Mechanism For Large Failing Firms; Financial Turmoil Is 'Abating'; 'Financial Conditions Have Improved Considerably'; Congress Must Act On Financial Reform Effort and needs to create a resolution mechanism for large failing financial firms; favors "a more subtle approach" to dealing with very large financial firms, short of simply breaking them up;  bank supervisors will not hesitate to stop banks from engaging in activities they do no appear to be prepared to do; mechanism should impose losses on shareholders and creditors of failing firms, he said, and resolution costs should be paid via an assessment on the financial industry, not by the taxpayers; Congress should ensure "all systemically important financial institutions are subject to a robust regime for consolidated supervision," even applying to financial firms that don't own a bank but whose failure could cause problems for the broader financial system.; Fed is working on a series of efforts to ensure financial institutions have enough capital and of the right quality. The Fed is also targeting risk management practices and liquidity management and is working to make sure financial institution compensation will "provide appropriate performance and risk-taking incentives.";  Fed is working to create standards that are countercyclical and that promote the retention of capital during times of stress; debt securities that can be converted to equity during stress are under consideration; pay should be at all levels in a banking organization linked to performance and it should create the right incentives; excessive risk taking can pose a threat to safety and soundness; consolidated supervision of the financial system is critical given the complexity of many financial firms and coordination between supervisors is key; reiterated his support for a financial oversight council made up of "principal" regulators; stress tests of major banks earlier this year has provided a valuable boost to confidence in the economy. "I think there's a lot of debate that still needs to be had" about what to do with large complex firms whose failure could cause significant financial stress, Bernanke said. "We can address these issues in a way that doesn't destroy the economic value of large complex multifunction firms through other mechanisms," such as appropriate capital requirements and higher capital standards for systemically important firms. "If we eliminate the artificial incentives for size and complexity, if we take away the incentives for too-big-to-fail," Bernanke said, "the true economic benefits and costs will be weighed by firms" and this will lead the firms to size themselves appropriately. "We cannot lose sight of the need to reorient our supervisory approach and to strengthen our regulatory and legal framework to help prevent a recurrence of the events of the past two years," Bernanke said. "Regulators and supervisors can do a great deal, but comprehensive financial reform requires action by the Congress," the central bank chief said. "Legislative action is needed to create new mechanisms for oversight of the financial system as a whole," he said. Bernanke's comments came from the text of the speech to be delivered before the event. Much of what the central banker said was a reiteration of his views on what needs to be done as the process of financial reform moves forward.

Economic data released today:

Existing Home Sales:
U.S. September Existing Home Sales rose 9.4% to 5.57 Million Rate; U.S. September Existing Home Sales Consensus 5.38 Million Rate; U.S. Inventory Of Unsold U.S. Homes at 7.8 months supply; U.S. September Median Existing Home Price fell 8.5% on year to $174,900.

At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing bell price:

DOW (Dow Jones Industrial Average) shed 103.69 points, EOD 9,977.62
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) shed 116.12, EOD 7,066.79
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) shed 10.87 points, EOD 2,154.42
S&P 500 (SPX) shed 13.46 points, EOD 1,079.45
BEL 20 (BEL20) gain 5.28 points, EOD 2,547.34
CAC 40 (CAC40) shed 7.63 points, EOD 3,808.24
FTSE100 (UKX100) gain 35.21 points, EOD 5,242.57
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) gain 15.82, EOD 10,282.99

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 728 declined stock prices 2,342, unchanged stock prices 101, stock prices hitting new highs 183 and stock prices hitting new lows 7. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: BNI shed 5.50, HOD 82.13, LOD 78.32, EOD 79.12; POT shed 2.49, HOD 102.84, LOD 99.90, EOD 100.47; CME gain 2.43, HOD 324.44, LOD 316.09, EOD 319.95; RTP shed 3.32, HOD 200.36, LOD 194.24, EOD 194.94.

National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 638, declined stock prices 2,075, unchanged stock prices 110, stock prices hitting new highs 105 and stock prices hitting new lows 15. NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living:
AMZN gain 25.47, HOD 119.65, LOD 110.62, EOD 118.92; SYNA gain 0.94, HOD 26.18, LOD 24.18, EOD 24.60; HGSI shed 0.79, HOD 20.43, LOD 19.45, EOD 19.62; AAPL shed 1.26, HOD 205.80, LOD 203.23, EOD 203.94; SPWRA shed 4.95, HOD 30.35, LOD 28.11, EOD 28.35; BIDU gain 19.71, HOD 437.50, LOD 418.50, EOD 435.31; ISRG gain 3.84, HOD 265.00, LOD 254.00, EOD 262.96; FSLR shed 3.69, HOD 154.92, LOD 151.72, EOD 152.39; NFLX gain 5.26, HOD 57.50, LOD 49.73, EOD 54.89; WOOF shed 2.48, HOD 25.39, LOD 24.04, EOD 24.96; TROW gain 5.16, HOD 55.48, LOD 50.21, EOD 54.27; NTGR gain 0.53, HOD 20.03, LOD 18.44, EOD 18.79; ALGN gain 2.32, HOD 18.85, LOD 17.53, EOD 17.70; IBKR shed 2.72, HOD 18.24, LOD 16.65, EOD 16.84.

Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators for the trading session today:

Advanced stock prices 199, declined stock prices 312, unchanged stock prices 48, stock prices hitting new highs 22 and stock prices hitting new lows 2.

Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:

E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Dec 09: EOD 1075.50; Change -15.25
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) Dec 09: EOD 1,751.75; Change -10.75
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) Dec 09: EOD 9,920; Change -118
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) Dec 09: EOD 699.30; Change -10.30
Nikkei 225 (Yen) Dec 09: EOD 10,230; Change -105

World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.6669 U.S. Dollars 1.4995
Japanese Yen 92.0500 to U.S. Dollars 0.0109
British Pound 0.6133 to U.S. Dollars 1.6305
Canadian Dollar 1.0514 to U.S. Dollars 0.9511
Swiss Franc 1.0094 to U.S. Dollars 0.9907

COMMODITY MARKETS:
Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (November 09) shed $0.69, EOD $80.50 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (November 09) shed $0.02, EOD $2.10 a gallon ($US per gallon)
Natural Gas (November 09) shed $0.13, EOD $5.48 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (November 09) no change $0.00, EOD $2.04 a gallon ($US per gallon) 

Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (December 09) shed $2.20, EOD $1,056.40 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (December 09) gain $0.18, EOD $17.72 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (January 09) shed $0.40, EOD $1,369.50 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (December 09) gain $0.04, EOD $3.03 ($US per pound)

Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (December 09) shed $0.70, EOD $53.03
Pork Bellies (February 10) gain $2.48, EOD $85.98
Live Cattle (December 09) gain $0.03, EOD $87.40
Feeder Cattle (November 09) shed $0.88, EOD $95.80

Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):

Corn (December 09) shed $5.75, EOD $396.00
Soybeans (November 09) gain $0.50, EOD $1,007.50

BOND MARKET:
2 year EOD 99 31/32, change -4/32, Yield 1.00, Yield change 0.07
5 year EOD 99 21/32, change -13/32, Yield 2.44, Yield change 0.09
10 year EOD 101 2/32, change -19/32, Yield 3.49, Yield change 0.07                     
30 year EOD 103 14/32, change -28/32, Yield 4.29, change 0.05

Access upcoming scheduled economic data anytime by viewing the Economic Calendar from Millennium-Traders, free access to visitors on our website.

Visitors may subscribe to our free Weekly MarketNews for a review of the previous weeks trading news plus, view upcoming economic data scheduled for the week ahead.

Review current edition as well as, archives of the News & Commentary plus, view complete details of calls made in our Trading Rooms and stock picks from our Swing Trading service. Traders should review our FREE Monthly Trading Lesson posted on our website.
 


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